NFL Handicapping: Three Playoff Mistakes to Avoid
As you go into the playoffs, you have a few final chances to pump up your bankroll a little bit more. If you’re going to be a successful NFL bettor, then you need to remember a few critical things. Here are three mistakes that you should try desperately to avoid this NFL playoff season.
1. Avoid Falling for Momentum
Don’t fall into the trap of thinking that a team is “hot.” Yes, it is true that teams win many games in a row. This is usually not because they got “hot,” though. Remember that the NFL’s best teams will be sitting out week one with a bye. If you buy into the hype on hotness, then you might end up betting on teams that are about to run into a well-rested buzzsaw.
2. Respect Small Numbers of Points
It’s only 2.5! That might as well be a pick’em. Be very careful if you’re going to employ this kind of reasoning. The truth is that small numbers of points can matter in a big way. You need to remember that games can and will end up 21-20 or something similar. Just because a team is getting less than a field goal does not mean that you need to immediately jump on the moneyline. Take those points when it makes sense to do so. You will be glad that you have them later in the game.
3. If It Looks Too Good To Be True…
The playoffs will see more action on each individual game. This means that the books will have the perfect opportunity to trap bettors with certain lines. Always keep your eyes open as you’re betting. If you see a line that looks a little bit too good to be true, then there is a good chance that it is. If you have a good opportunity to fade the public, then take that opportunity all the way to the bank.