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This week, something spectacular will happen in Denver. The Broncos will tangle with a Jacksonville team that has been really bad this year. Anyone making NFL picks this year should know good and well that Denver’s been awesome and the Jaguars have been historically bad. After all, Jacksonville was a double-digit underdog last week at St. Louis against a Rams team that hasn’t shown any life this year. What’s worse? The Jaguars failed to cover that huge number. 

Now, they head to Denver to take on a Broncos team that has been putting up 40 points on pretty much everyone. That is why the Broncos are around a four-touchdown favorite in this game. That is a number that’s unheard of in the NFL, and by the time this game kicks off, this might be the biggest spread in the history of recorded NFL point spread figures.

What do we know about big spreads like this? We know that most of the time, the big favorite will not cover in this position. This might be a little bit different, though. Denver is playing at home, where they are routinely running people off the field. And Jacksonville looks like it might have given up on this season, even now.

What’s the big question here? How many points will Denver want to score? If you’re making your NFL picks this week on this game, then you’ll need to know whether the Broncos are going to have their heart in this one. If Denver wants to cover this number, there is no question that they can do it. As a bettor, though, you might think about a situation where Jacksonville plays well and keeps this game within the 28-point number. This is a big one to cover, and even though the gap between these teams is great, there’s a chance Jacksonville could cover.